Warning the US share market will crash

"We are all quite aware that this will end badly". This chart provides a stark fundamentally-based warning that the US share market is going to crash

Quotes from this article:

  • What the Federal Reserve’s ongoing interventions have done, and continue to do, is push portfolio managers to chase performance despite concerns of potential capital loss. We have all become “fully invested bears” as we are all quite aware that this will end badly, but no one is willing to take the risk of being grossly underexposed to Central Bank interventions.

  • Famed Morgan Stanley strategist Gerard Minack said once (recently):

  • The funny thing is there is a disconnect between what investors are saying and what they are doing. No one thinks all the problems the global financial crisis revealed have been healed. But, when you have an equity rally as you’ve seen for the past four or five years, everybody (all professional money managers because of career risk) has had to participate. What you’ve had are fully invested bears.”


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