Why we believe that you need to be a medium-term market timer, to do well in all markets. A lesson from history http://puzzlefinancialadvice.com.au/2021/Core/Static_Asset_Allocation_long_term_buy_and_hold_strategies_often_fail_Why_is_that_210202.pdf
Puzzle Financial Advice
Jeremy Grantham 27/2/2012 "Believe in history. History repeats. All bubbles break. Be patient and focus on the long-term. Wait for the good cards."
Puzzle Financial Advice is NO LONGER providing personal financial advice
COVID spread by aerosol
I added this page in because a lot of people still do not realise that the research shows VERY CLEARLY that aerosol spread is a major cause of COVID transmission. Aerosol = tiny droplets of moisture, and it can be just from breathing - it does not need to be a cough or a sneeze. This is why face masks are such an important part of COVID protection.
So this page is to give you some references to the evidence.
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https://twitter.com/EricTopol/status/1356765668750712832 3 Feb 2021
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"The evidence is now clear. #SARSCoV2 is transmitted predominantly through the air — by people talking and breathing out large droplets and small particles called aerosols. Catching the virus from surfaces — although plausible — seems to be rare."
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"Coronavirus is in the air — there’s too much focus on surfaces" 2 Feb 2021
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https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-021-00277-8
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"Catching the coronavirus from surfaces is rare."
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"A year into the pandemic, the evidence is now clear. The coronavirus SARS-CoV-2 is transmitted predominantly through the air — by people talking and breathing out large droplets and small particles called aerosols. Catching the virus from surfaces — although plausible — seems to be rare (E. Goldman Lancet Infect. Dis. 20, 892–893; 2020)."
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https://twitter.com/erictopol/status/1375090331864035330?lang=en 26/Mar/21
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"The oral cavity is an important site for SARS-CoV-2 infection and implicate saliva as a potential route of SARS-CoV-2 transmission." https://www.nature.com/articles/s41591-021-01296-8 "Add saliva to aerosol and droplets as a potential mode of covid transmission"
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https://www.abc.net.au/news/2021-03-31/coughing-deep-breathing-aerosol-spread-covid-study/100039258 31/3/21
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"Australian researchers find COVID-19 aerosol spread that puts some healthcare workers at risk over others"
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"Scientists from the University of Sydney, University of New South Wales and the British National Health Service looked at what happened when a person breathed, coughed and even talked. They found that these actions were a major source of tiny aerosol spread."
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'Much of the current official guidance about personal protective equipment is designed to protect the wearer from droplets, and infection spread by aerosols is only considered a risk when caused by medical interventions such an intubating a patient. "Surgical facemasks provide inadequate protection against aerosols and staff safety can only be increased by more widespread use of specialised tight-fitting respirators (N95 or FFP3 masks) and increased indoor ventilation," Professor Tovey said.'
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https://www.webmd.com/lung/news/20210420/10-signs-airborne-coronavirus-spread-is-what-matters 20/Apr/21
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"10 Signs Airborne Coronavirus Spread is What Matters"
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"The scientific evidence for airborne transmission of the coronavirus from different researchers all point in the same direction — that infectious aerosols are the principal means of person-to-person transmission."
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"The science backing aerosol transmission 'is clear-cut'"
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https://twitter.com/EricTopol/status/1382825519171833859 16/Apr/21
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"Airborne it is. The 10 streams of overwhelming evidence"
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"Ten scientific reasons in support of airborne transmission of SARS-CoV-2" 15/Apr/21
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"Indoor Air Changes and Potential Implications for SARS-CoV-2 Transmission" 16/Apr/21
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"A guideline to limit indoor airborne transmission of COVID-19" 27/Apr/21
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ventilation masks nose-breathing whispering and quiet speech "inadequacy of the Six-Foot Rule" - Topol's summary
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https://twitter.com/EricTopol/status/1384508691706089474 21/Apr/21
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Discussion about the Swedish strategy - not following protocols that reducing aerosol transmission - and paying the price for it. https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/sweden/
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"Why Australia is under pressure to upgrade advice on Covid’s aerosol transmission"
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